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The authors would like to express their gratitude to the Generalitat Valenciana (Spain) for its support under the Santiago Grisolia Program/2018/140. The authors would also like to extend their gratitude to the Ministerio de Economia, Industria y Competitividad and by Agencia Nacional de Investigacion under the FPI grant BES-2017-080031.

Analysis of institutional authors

Berna-Escriche, CesarCorresponding Authorálvarez-Piñeiro, LucasAuthorBlanco, DavidAuthor

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March 11, 2025
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Forecasts for full decarbonization of the economy in off-grid systems with high end-use consumption rates through combined electricity and hydrogen deployment, the Canary Islands in 2040

Publicated to:Journal Of Energy Storage. 114 115912- - 2025-04-10 114(), DOI: 10.1016/j.est.2025.115912

Authors: Rivera, Yago; Berna-Escriche, Cesar; Cordova-Chavez, Yaisel; Alvarez-Pineiro, Lucas; Blanco, David

Affiliations

Univ Politecn Valencia UPV, DEIOAC Dept Estadist & Invest Operat Aplicadas & C, Camino Vera 14, Valencia 46022, Spain - Author
Univ Politecn Valencia UPV, IIE Inst Univ Invest Ingn Energet, Camino Vera 14, Valencia 46022, Spain - Author

Abstract

This article explores the complete decarbonization of the Canary Archipelago's economy. The proposed scenario uses electric and hydrogen energy vectors to meet all final energy demands at affordable costs. The study considers the technical and economic aspects of the proposed system, as well as an estimation of electricity generation and hydrogen production capacity in 2040, to optimize the system to meet the demand at all times without relying on external sources. The recommended scenario involves the deployment of 7500 MWp of photovoltaic energy, 1076 MWp of wind turbines, and 907 MW of SMRs. Various storage options have been tested to accommodate the unavoidable storage requirements of such stand-alone systems. The selection of reverse-pumping storage with a maximum power output of 2050 MW and a total capacity of approximately 17GWh is sufficient to cover the existing system needs. The total investment required to implement the proposed system until 2040 is estimated at around 29,000 M, of which approximately 6000 are for the hydrogen subsystem. The proposed system entails significantly less storage capacity and curtailment while enabling the production of sufficient hydrogen to achieve the complete decarbonization of all energy end-uses.

Keywords

Co2 emissionsDesigDriversElectricity generationEnergy-storageEuropeFlexibilityHydrogen productionNorth-americaOff-grid systeOptimizationPowerRenewable energyReverse pumpingSmall modular reactor

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Journal Of Energy Storage due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency WoS (JCR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2025, it was in position 29/171, thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Energy & Fuels.

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-07-06:

  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 18 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

    Leadership analysis of institutional authors

    There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: First Author (Rivera, Yago) and Last Author (BLANCO DE LAS MUELAS, DAVID).

    the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been Berna Escriche, Cesar.