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The NANOGrav collaboration receives support from National Science Foundation (NSF) Physics Frontiers Center award Nos. 1430284 and 2020265, the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, NSF AccelNet award No. 2114721, an NSERC Discovery Grant, and CIFAR. The Arecibo Observatory is a facility of the NSF operated under cooperative agreement (AST-1744119) by the University of Central Florida (UCF) in alliance with Universidad Ana G. Mendez (UAGM) and Yang Enterprises (YEI), Inc. The Green Bank Observatory is a facility of the NSF operated under cooperative agreement by Associated Universities, Inc. The National Radio Astronomy Observatory is a facility of the NSF operated under cooperative agreement by Associated Universities, Inc. L.B. acknowledges support from the National Science Foundation under award AST-1909933 and from the Research Corporation for Science Advancement under Cottrell Scholar Award No. 27553. P.R.B. is supported by the Science and Technology Facilities Council, grant No. ST/W000946/1. S.B. gratefully acknowledges the support of a Sloan Fellowship, and the support of NSF under award No. 1815664. The work of R.C., N.La., X.S., and J.T. is partly supported by the George and Hannah Bolinger Memorial Fund in the College of Science at Oregon State University. M.C., P.P., and S.R.T. acknowledge support from NSF AST-2007993. M.C. and N.S.P. were supported by the Vanderbilt Initiative in Data Intensive Astrophysics (VIDA) Fellowship. Support for this work was provided by the NSF through the Grote Reber Fellowship Program administered by Associated Universities, Inc./National Radio Astronomy Observatory. Support for H.T.C. is provided by NASA through the NASA Hubble Fellowship Program grant No. HST-HF2-51453.001 awarded by the Space Telescope Science Institute, which is operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, Inc., for NASA, under contract NAS5-26555. K.C. is supported by a UBC Four Year Fellowship (6456). M.E.D. acknowledges support from the Naval Research Laboratory by NASA under contract S-15633Y. T.D. and M.T.L. are supported by an NSF Astronomy and Astrophysics Grant (AAG) award No. 2009468. E.C.F. is supported by NASA under award No. 80GSFC21M0002. G.E.F., S.C.S., and S.J.V. are supported by NSF award PHY-2011772. The Flatiron Institute is supported by the Simons Foundation. S.H. is supported by the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship under grant No. DGE-1745301. A.D.J. and M.V. acknowledge support from the Caltech and Jet Propulsion Laboratory President's and Director's Research and Development Fund. A.D.J. acknowledges support from the Sloan Foundation. N.La. acknowledges the support from Larry W. Martin and Joyce B. O'Neill Endowed Fellowship in the College of Science at Oregon State University. Part of this research was carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (80NM0018D0004). D.R.L. and M.A.M. are supported by NSF No. 1458952. M.A.M. is supported by NSF No. 2009425. C.M.F.M. was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant Nos. NSF PHY-1748958 and AST-2106552. A.Mi. is supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft under Germany's Excellence Strategy-EXC 2121 Quantum Universe-390833306. The Dunlap Institute is funded by an endowment established by the David Dunlap family and the University of Toronto. K.D.O. was supported in part by NSF grant No. 2207267. K.D.O. acknowledges the Tufts University High Performance Compute Cluster (https://it.tufts.edu/high-performance-computing), which was utilized for some of the research reported in this paper. T.T.P. acknowledges support from the Extragalactic Astrophysics Research Group at Eoetvoes Lorand University, funded by the Eoetvoes Lorand Research Network (ELKH), which was used during the development of this research. S.M.R. and I.H.S. are CIFAR Fellows. Portions of this work performed at NRL were supported by ONR 6.1 basic research funding. J.D.R. also acknowledges support from start-up funds from Texas Tech University. J.S. is supported by an NSF Astronomy and Astrophysics Postdoctoral Fellowship under award AST-2202388, and acknowledges previous support by the NSF under award 1847938. S.R.T. acknowledges support from an NSF CAREER award No. 2146016. C.U. acknowledges support from BGU (Kreitman fellowship), and the Council for Higher Education and Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities (Excellence fellowship). C.A.W. acknowledges support from CIERA, the Adler Planetarium, and the Brinson Foundation through a CIERA-Adler postdoctoral fellowship. O.Y. is supported by the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship under grant No. DGE-2139292. This work was conducted in part using the resources of the Advanced Computing Center for Research and Education (ACCRE) at Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN.& nbsp;

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Gentile, Peter AAuthor

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June 6, 2025
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Article

The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Bayesian Limits on Gravitational Waves from Individual Supermassive Black Hole Binaries

Publicated to:Astrophysical Journal Letters. 951 (2): L50- - 2023-07-01 951(2), DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/ace18a

Authors: Agazie, Gabriella; Anumarlapudi, Akash; Archibald, Anne M; Arzoumanian, Zaven; Baker, Paul T; Becsy, Bence; Blecha, Laura; Brazier, Adam; Brook, Paul R; Burke-Spolaor, Sarah; Case, Robin; Casey-Clyde, J Andrew; Charisi, Maria; Chatterjee, Shami; Cohen, Tyler; Cordes, James M; Cornish, Neil J; Crawford, Fronefield; Cromartie, H Thankful; Crowter, Kathryn; DeCesar, Megan E; Demorest, Paul B; Digman, Matthew C; Drachler, Brendan; Ferrara, Elizabeth C; Fiore, William; Fonseca, Emmanuel; Freedman, Gabriel E; Garver-Daniels, Nate; Gentile, Peter A; Glaser, Joseph; Good, Deborah C; Gueltekin, Kayhan; Hazboun, Jeffrey S; Hourihane, Sophie; Jennings, Ross J; Johnson, Aaron D; Jones, Megan L; Kaiser, Andrew R; Kaplan, David L; Kelley, Luke Zoltan; Kerr, Matthew; Key, Joey S; Laal, Nima; Lam, Michael T; Lamb, William G; Lazio, T Joseph W; Lewandowska, Natalia; Liu, Tingting; Lorimer, Duncan R; Luo, Jing; Lynch, Ryan S; Ma, Chung-Pei; Madison, Dustin R; McEwen, Alexander; McKee, James W; McLaughlin, Maura; McMann, Natasha; Meyers, Bradley W; Meyers, Patrick M; Mingarelli, Chiara M F; Mitridate, Andrea; Ng, Cherry; Nice, David J; Ocker, Stella Koch; Olum, Ken D; Pennucci, Timothy T; Perera, Benetge B P; Petrov, Polina; Pol, Nihan S; Radovan, Henri A; Ransom, Scott M; Ray, Paul S; Romano, Joseph D; Sardesai, Shashwat C; Schmiedekamp, Ann; Schmiedekamp, Carl; Schmitz, Kai; Shapiro-Albert, Brent J; Siemens, Xavier; Simon, Joseph; Siwek, Magdalena S; Stairs, Ingrid H; Stinebring, Daniel R; Stovall, Kevin; Susobhanan, Abhimanyu; Swiggum, Joseph K; Taylor, Jacob; Taylor, Stephen R; Turner, Jacob E; Unal, Caner; Vallisneri, Michele; van Haasteren, Rutger; Vigeland, Sarah J; Wahl, Haley M; Witt, Caitlin A; Young, Olivia

Affiliations

Adler Planetarium, 1300 S DuSable Lake Shore Dr, Chicago, IL 60605 USA - Author
Arecibo Observ, HC3 Box 53995, Arecibo, PR 00612 USA - Author
Ben Gurion Univ Negev, Dept Phys, IL-84105 Beer Sheva, Israel - Author
Bogazici Univ, Feza Gursey Inst, TR-34684 Istanbul, Turkiye - Author
CALTECH, Div Phys Math & Astron, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA - Author
CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, 4800 Oak Grove Dr, Pasadena, CA 91109 USA - Author
Cornell Univ, Cornell Ctr Adv Comp, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA - Author
Cornell Univ, Cornell Ctr Astrophys & Planetary Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA - Author
Cornell Univ, Dept Astron, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA - Author
Curtin Univ, Int Ctr Radio Astron Res, Bentley, WA 6102, Australia - Author
Deutsch Elektronen Synchrotron DESY, Notkestr 85, D-22607 Hamburg, Germany - Author
Eotvos Lorand Univ, Inst Phys & Astron, Pazmany Ps 1-A, H-1117 Budapest, Hungary - Author
Flatiron Inst, Ctr Computat Astrophys, 162 5th Ave, New York, NY 10010 USA - Author
Franklin Marshall Coll, Dept Phys & Astron, POB 3003, Lancaster, PA 17604 USA - Author
George Mason Univ, Naval Res Lab, Washington, DC 20375 USA - Author
Giant Army, 915A 17th Ave, Seattle, WA 98122 USA - Author
Green Bank Observ, POB 2, Green Bank, WV 24944 USA - Author
Harvard Univ, Ctr Astrophys, 60 Garden St, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA - Author
Lafayette Coll, Dept Phys, Easton, PA 18042 USA - Author
Max Planck Inst Gravitat Phys Albert Einstein Ins, Callinstr 38, D-30167 Hannover, Germany - Author
Montana State Univ, Dept Phys, Bozeman, MT 59717 USA - Author
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA - Author
NASA Goddard Space Flight Ctr, XRay Astrophys Lab, Code 662, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA - Author
NASA GSFC, Ctr Res & Explorat Space Sci & Technol, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA - Author
Natl Radio Astron Observ, 1003 Lopezville Rd, Socorro, NM 87801 USA - Author
Natl Radio Astron Observ, 520 Edgemont Rd, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA - Author
Naval Res Lab, Div Space Sci, Washington, DC 20375 USA - Author
New Mexico Inst Min & Technol, Dept Phys, 801 Leroy Pl, Socorro, NM 87801 USA - Author
Newcastle Univ, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England - Author
Northwestern Univ, Ctr Interdisciplinary Explorat & Res Astrophys CI, Evanston, IL 60208 USA - Author
Oberlin Coll, Dept Phys & Astron, Oberlin, OH 44074 USA - Author
Oregon State Univ, Dept Phys, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA - Author
Penn State Abington, Dept Phys, Abington, PA 19001 USA - Author
Rochester Inst Technol, Lab Multiwavelength Astrophys, Rochester, NY 14623 USA - Author
Rochester Inst Technol, Sch Phys & Astron, Rochester, NY 14623 USA - Author
SUNY Coll Oswego, Dept Phys, Oswego, NY 13126 USA - Author
Texas Tech Univ, Dept Phys, Box 41051, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA - Author
Tufts Univ, Inst Cosmol, Dept Phys & Astron, Medford, MA 02155 USA - Author
Univ Birmingham, Inst Gravitat Wave Astron, Birmingham B15 2TT, England - Author
Univ Birmingham, Sch Phys & Astron, Birmingham B15 2TT, England - Author
Univ British Columbia, Dept Phys & Astron, 6224 Agr Rd, Vancouver, BC V6T IZ1, Canada - Author
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Astron, 501 Campbell Hall 3411, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA - Author
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Phys, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA - Author
Univ Colorado, Dept Astrophys & Planetary Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA - Author
Univ Connecticut, Dept Phys, 196 Auditorium Rd,U-304, Storrs, CT USA - Author
Univ Florida, Phys Dept, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA - Author
Univ Hull, Ctr Excellence Data Sci Artificial Intelligence &, Cottingham Rd, Kingston Upon Hull HU6 7RX, England - Author
Univ Hull, EA Milne Ctr Astrophys, Cottingham Rd, Kingston Upon Hull HU6 7RX, England - Author
Univ Maryland, Dept Astron, College Pk, MD 20742 USA - Author
Univ Michigan, Dept Astron & Astrophys, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA - Author
Univ Munster, Inst Theoret Phys, D-48149 Munster, Germany - Author
Univ Puerto Rico, Dept Phys, Mayaguez, PR 00681 USA - Author
Univ Toronto, Dept Astron Astrophys, 50 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3H4, Canada - Author
Univ Toronto, Dunlap Inst Astron & Astrophys, 50 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3H4, Canada - Author
Univ Washington Bothell, 18115 Campus Way NE, Bothell, WA 98011 USA - Author
Univ Wisconsin Milwaukee, Ctr Gravitat Cosmol & Astrophys, Dept Phys, POB 413, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA - Author
UnivPacific, Dept Phys, 3601 Pacific Ave, Stockton, CA 95211 USA - Author
Vanderbilt Univ, Dept Phys & Astron, 2301 Vanderbilt Pl, Nashville, TN 37235 USA - Author
West Virginia Univ, Ctr Gravitat Waves & Cosmol, Chestnut Ridge Res Bldg, Morgantown, WV 26505 USA - Author
West Virginia Univ, Dept Phys & Astron, POB 6315, Morgantown, WV 26506 USA - Author
Widener Univ, Dept Phys & Astron, 1 Univ Pl, Chester, PA 19013 USA - Author
Yale Univ, Dept Phys, New Haven, CT 06520 USA - Author
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Abstract

Evidence for a low-frequency stochastic gravitational-wave background has recently been reported based on analyses of pulsar timing array data. The most likely source of such a background is a population of supermassive black hole binaries, the loudest of which may be individually detected in these data sets. Here we present the search for individual supermassive black hole binaries in the NANOGrav 15 yr data set. We introduce several new techniques, which enhance the efficiency and modeling accuracy of the analysis. The search uncovered weak evidence for two candidate signals, one with a gravitational-wave frequency of & SIM;4 nHz, and another at & SIM;170 nHz. The significance of the low-frequency candidate was greatly diminished when Hellings-Downs correlations were included in the background model. The high-frequency candidate was discounted due to the lack of a plausible host galaxy, the unlikely astrophysical prior odds of finding such a source, and since most of its support comes from a single pulsar with a commensurate binary period. Finding no compelling evidence for signals from individual binary systems, we place upper limits on the strain amplitude of gravitational waves emitted by such systems. At our most sensitive frequency of 6 nHz, we place a sky-averaged 95% upper limit of 8 x 10(-15) on the strain amplitude. We also calculate an exclusion volume and a corresponding effective radius, within which we can rule out the presence of black hole binaries emitting at a given frequency.

Keywords

AstrometryCataloConstraintsData releaseDistancesParallaxProper motionPulsar timing arraySearchVariable quasars

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Astrophysical Journal Letters due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency WoS (JCR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2023, it was in position 9/84, thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Astronomy & Astrophysics. Notably, the journal is positioned above the 90th percentile.

From a relative perspective, and based on the normalized impact indicator calculated from World Citations provided by WoS (ESI, Clarivate), it yields a value for the citation normalization relative to the expected citation rate of: 12.5. This indicates that, compared to works in the same discipline and in the same year of publication, it ranks as a work cited above average. (source consulted: ESI Nov 14, 2024)

This information is reinforced by other indicators of the same type, which, although dynamic over time and dependent on the set of average global citations at the time of their calculation, consistently position the work at some point among the top 50% most cited in its field:

  • Field Citation Ratio (FCR) from Dimensions: 55.49 (source consulted: Dimensions Jul 2025)

Specifically, and according to different indexing agencies, this work has accumulated citations as of 2025-07-03, the following number of citations:

  • WoS: 82

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-07-03:

  • The use, from an academic perspective evidenced by the Altmetric agency indicator referring to aggregations made by the personal bibliographic manager Mendeley, gives us a total of: 34.
  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 34 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

  • The Total Score from Altmetric: 157.35.
  • The number of mentions on the social network X (formerly Twitter): 42 (Altmetric).
  • The number of mentions in news outlets: 16 (Altmetric).

It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

  • The work has been submitted to a journal whose editorial policy allows open Open Access publication.

Leadership analysis of institutional authors

This work has been carried out with international collaboration, specifically with researchers from: Australia; Canada; Germany; Hungary; Israel; Turkey; United Kingdom; United States of America.